You’ve added details that aren’t in the question. It’s like asking what are the odds of rolling a “one” on a 1d4, and then saying “Well, if it’s not a fair 1d4, then …”
My favorite indication that someone is using a word in an unusual way is that their question has no answer if you interpret it as usual. I reply to you because you argued very nicely that, if this makes sense at all, it must be with a different use of language than we expect.
You’ve added details that aren’t in the question. It’s like asking what are the odds of rolling a “one” on a 1d4, and then saying “Well, if it’s not a fair 1d4, then …”
… I… I literally talked about this. It’s the first words.
What more was needed?
The question is as posed. We have no indication that we should assume a different distribution of “random”.
My favorite indication that someone is using a word in an unusual way is that their question has no answer if you interpret it as usual. I reply to you because you argued very nicely that, if this makes sense at all, it must be with a different use of language than we expect.