The new NBC News poll shows 51% of registered voters saying they plan to vote early, with that group breaking hard for Harris and Election Day voters backing Trump.
Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, new figures from the September NBC News poll show, with Democrats continuing to run up the score among early voters and Republicans getting stronger backing from those who plan to vote in person on Election Day.
Fifty-one percent of voters say they’ll vote early, either by mail or in person, with Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 61%-35% (a 26-point margin) among those voters.
By comparison, Trump leads by 20 points, 57%-37%, with the group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, which accounts for 45% of the electorate in the poll. It’s a smaller lead among a slightly smaller share of the electorate than Harris has over those early voters.
🗳️ Register to vote: https://vote.gov/
Democrats - particularly in low-income and minority majority areas - tend to face enormous lines at voting booths on election day. Polling stations regularly run out of ballots or have lots of broken and misconfigured machines. Polling delays can lead to legal drama around whether ballots will even be counted
Republicans, particularly those concentrated in the wealthy suburbs, rarely have these problems.
This tends to shape voter behavior over the long term.
What about Democrats in cities and wealthy suburbs? As a lifelong Republican and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t Democratic-leaning.
As a lifelong independent and suburban citizen, I don’t think I’ve ever lived in a suburb that wasn’t flush with conservatives. Every major city in Texas is teaming with them. Staten Island in New York puts up some of the state’s only GOP Congressmen. Virginia, California, Ohio… JD Vance is the picture of suburban conservative voter. And what is New Jersey if not a suburb of New York City? They run out the Chris Christie brand of politician on the reg?
Interesting. I’ve been to some of these states, and with the exception of California, these states are either purple or blue with high concentrations of Democrats in urbanized areas.
White Flight which peaked in the 90s/00s means the urban cores tend to be liberal while the surrounding suburbs are full of reactionaries.