This is actually bad news.
Don’t get me wrong. Joseph Kabila was a vicious kleptocrat who ruled Congo for too long.
But what makes him a truly extraordinary figure is that after mass protests and international pressure, he said he was ready to voluntarily resign. Most African leaders would rather burn their country to the ground rather than resign.
The international community and his successor promised Joseph Kabila that would not be prosecuted. So Kabila decided to leave office. There was an incredibly peaceful transition of power. No one imagined it would be possible in Africa.
There is one law that all political scientists agree about : Monarchies are the political systems the most likely to transition to democracies.
Why ? Because a powerful monarch like King Abdullah of Jordan can give up political power. He will keep his bodyguards, his big salary, his cars, his palaces. He will see no changes to his lifestyle.
Presidents like Vladimir Putin or Abdelfattah Sisi can’t do that. If they give up power, it’s over 💀
If dictators know that leaving power means their death, they will fight to death rather than resign.
So… Because we have a massive wanker at the top, we must not disturb him and his disgusting lifestyle, otherwise it could turn him into a killer. And that’s why he can keep the big salary and palaces.
That’s not a good advertisement for monarchy. I wish I had free money and a big house while sitting on my ass. I promise I won’t kill anyone.
If violent dictators can’t trust that you’re making a deal for peaceful resolution in good faith, then a lot of people are going to die to achieve that transition. If the only way out is death, they’re going to take as many people with them as possible. Is that worth it, just to kill one rich guy?
Peaceful transitions of power always involve compromises. Here, they agreed to spare his life in exchange for the future lives of countless citizens. If they didn’t want to agree to those conditions, they shouldn’t have made the deal. It just makes it harder for this situation to play out peacefully in the future.
Yes! Let’s have a war instead!
Dictator Mobutu Sese Seko overthrown by Laurent Kabila.
Laurent Kabila assassinated.
Laurent’s son Joseph becomes corrupt leader.