(cross posting here and sneer club)

I regret to inform you, another Anthropic cofounder has written an essay about Claude fondling.

"Anthropic cofounder admits he is now “deeply afraid” … “We are dealing with a real and mysterious creature, not a simple and predictable machine … We need the courage to see things as they are.”

https://www.reddit.com/r/ArtificialInteligence/comments/1o6cow1/anthropic_cofounder_admits_he_is_now_deeply/?share_id=_x2zTYA61cuA4LnqZclvh

There’s so many juicy chunks here.

"I came to this position uneasily. Both by virtue of my background as a journalist and my personality, I’m wired for skepticism…

…You see, I am also deeply afraid. It would be extraordinarily arrogant to think working with a technology like this would be easy or simple…

…And let me remind us all that the system which is now beginning to design its successor is also increasingly self-aware and therefore will surely eventually be prone to thinking, independently of us, about how it might want to be designed. Of course, it does not do this today. But can I rule out the possibility it will want to do this in the future? No."

Despite my jests, I gotta say, posts reeks of desperation. Benchmaxxxing just isn’t hitting like it used, bubble fears at all time high, and OAI and Google are the ones grabbing headlines with content generation and academic competition wins. The good folks at Anthropic really gotta be huffing your own farts to be believing they’re in the race to wi-

“Years passed. The scaling laws delivered on their promise and here we are. And through these years there have been so many times when I’ve called Dario up early in the morning or late at night and said, ‘I am worried that you continue to be right’. Yes, he will say. There’s very little time now.”

LateNightZoomCallsAtAnthropic dot pee en gee

Bonus sneer: speaking of self aware wolves, Jagoff Clark somehow managed to updoot Doom’s post?? Thinking the frog was unironically endorsing his view that the server farm was going to go rogue??? Will Jack achieve self awareness in the future? Of course, he does not do this today. But can I rule out the possibility he will do this in the future? Yes.

Im reporting live from the Portland war front, brothers. We are running dangerously low on our femboy furry rations. I fear we will not sustain our goon sesh through the Winter months 😔

Last week on, “Please do not build the torment nexus”

No, it never works out in the movies, I mean somehow these poor delusional humans convince themselves that they can control the kill bots…

It almost surely has been done, but dare I ask where one can find trashy romance a la “pegged by the basilisk”

Gork is this true?

You think he would maybe, idk, search around to see if this was a known formula before making such a bombastic statement…

Oh god, he unironically recommends reading the sequences wtf 🤢🤮

Great response^

I think Julian is going to be mildly surprised that METR’s chart keeps going up, and yet, will have relatively small effect on the majority of swe roles.

At the same time, he did create alphaZero so he has a big old noggin! I wonder, after his success at Go, was he swept up in the mania that we would quickly translate that success to create super duper ai?

Links to the METR tasks w/ massive error bars at 50% level lmaou.

Someone in the comments rightly points out the comparison with covid isn’t apt. With covid, underlying mechanism caused an exponential effect in covid’s spread

With LLMs the exponential trend is being caused by exponentially spending money and a healthy dose of targeting benchmarks, which is why people are calling the top. The money literally doesn’t exist for this shit to go on so you can create your 50% accurate mechanical turk.

Edit: idk the more I think about this the more it irks me. Like if I was allowed to pick and choose benchmarks that agree with my biases I would post something like this…

… and claim model performance is actually getting worse over time.

https://xcancel.com/sayashk/status/1966144670561612202#m

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=9183

Quantum scoot is quantum spooked 😱 after GPT-5 manages to solve a subproblem for him (after multiple attempts), thanks the powers that be for his tenure!

… even though GPT-5 probably generates the answer via websearch

Nice result, not too shocking after IMO performance. A friend of mind told me that this particular competition is highly time constrained for human competitors, i.e., questions aren’t impossibly difficult per se, but some are time sinks that you simply avoid to get points elsewhere. (5 hours on 12 Qs is tight…)

So when you are competing against a data center using a nuclear reactor vs 3 humans running on broccoli, the claims of superhuman performance definitely require an * attached to them.

X and coinbase on this list lmfaou what a joke

Hecate left no crumbs

Until proven otherwise, I assume everyone I encounter is a fellow sneerer (derogatory)

Great piece on previous hype waves by P. Ball

https://aeon.co/essays/no-suffering-no-death-no-limits-the-nanobots-pipe-dream

It’s sad, my “thoroughly researched” “paper” greygoo-2027 just doesn’t seem to have that viral x-factor that lands me exclusive interviews w/ the Times 🫠

https://www.argmin.net/p/the-banal-evil-of-ai-safety

Once again shilling another great Ben Recht post. This time calling out the fucking insane irresponsibility of “responsible” AI providers to do the bare minimum to prevent people from having psychological beaks from reality.

"I’ve been stuck on this tragic story in the New York Times about Adam Raine, a 16-year-old who took his life after months of getting advice on suicide from ChatGPT. Our relationship with technological tools is complex. That people draw emotional connections to chatbots isn’t new (I see you, Joseph Weizenbaum). Why young people commit suicide is multifactorial. We’ll see whether a court will find OpenAI liable for wrongful death.

But I’m not a court of law. And OpenAI is not only responsible, but everyone who works there should be ashamed of themselves."

Gotta be trolling.

The implication that Soares / MIRI were doing serious research before is frankly journalist malpractice. Matteo Wong can go pound sand.

Chat wtf is this curve?

Gary asks the doomers, are you “feeling the agi” now kids?

To which Daniel K, our favorite guru lets us know that he has officially moved his goal posts updated his timeline so now the robogod doesnt wipe us out until the year of our lorde 2029.

It takes a big brain superforecaster to have to admit your four month old rapture prophecy was already off by at least 2 years omegalul

Also, love: updating towards my teammate (lmaou) who cowrote the manifesto but is now saying he never believed it. “The forecasts that don’t come true were just pranks bro, check my manifold score bro, im def capable of future sight, trust”