Only if the trend between women getting more liberal and men getting more conservative cancel out. If you have a graph like South Korea where young women vote moderately more liberal, but young men become drastically more conservative, then it still results in an overall shift towards conservative values.
Does it, though? If I lean a little bit left I’m going to vote left, whereas if I lean a lot left then… I’m still going to vote left (or vice versa). Granted, I might vote for a more fringe party then further I lean, but I don’t think a greater divide will reflect in the number of votes particularly.
Only if the trend between women getting more liberal and men getting more conservative cancel out. If you have a graph like South Korea where young women vote moderately more liberal, but young men become drastically more conservative, then it still results in an overall shift towards conservative values.
Does it, though? If I lean a little bit left I’m going to vote left, whereas if I lean a lot left then… I’m still going to vote left (or vice versa). Granted, I might vote for a more fringe party then further I lean, but I don’t think a greater divide will reflect in the number of votes particularly.