I’m extremely confident in europe and the EU, it might be a bit late (hindsight is always easy but a decade in international politics isn’t much) but I think there is a real “risk” that slowly we’ll be the place to be and everyone else just a half-banana republic. Or so I feel.
There are and have always been bizarre political currents in europe (like the extreme left, and the revolutionary left bombing stuff in the eighties just as an axample), but it’s not like the USA where everything catches fire at once, we’re 27+ countries and they all pull in different ways, so far right expansion is something not to take lightly, but it will not be a walk in the park subverting the EU (fascists tend to need a sort of quick power grab) even if it can happen in distinct countries.
I also believe the Kremlin is behind lots of those problems, amplifying them and sponsoring far right parties. And it seems those days will come to an end or at least be correctly countered and not welcomed with open arms like in the last 20-30+ years.
So I’m quite optimistic for the long haul, we got some 5-10 turbulent years ahead but I’m confident we’ll survive mostly.
I see Russian hands everywhere too, not just politically but in cyber attacks and industrial sabotage. The problem is the USA who already light sabotaged us as allies are turning full blown hostile under trump. Economy is stable but industry and job market are declining fast and AI will break this even more (not only a European problem though.)
But nationalism rising is what makes me more afraid as I fear countries leaving Europe under false pretense due to corrupted politicians (or controlled/blackmailed by foreign powers). I fear what is happening in the USA becoming the norm.
I’m extremely confident in europe and the EU, it might be a bit late (hindsight is always easy but a decade in international politics isn’t much) but I think there is a real “risk” that slowly we’ll be the place to be and everyone else just a half-banana republic. Or so I feel.
Please explain a bit more because I see Europe in real danger in the next decade. (Far right rising, usa, Russia, China wanting to weaken us)
There are and have always been bizarre political currents in europe (like the extreme left, and the revolutionary left bombing stuff in the eighties just as an axample), but it’s not like the USA where everything catches fire at once, we’re 27+ countries and they all pull in different ways, so far right expansion is something not to take lightly, but it will not be a walk in the park subverting the EU (fascists tend to need a sort of quick power grab) even if it can happen in distinct countries.
I also believe the Kremlin is behind lots of those problems, amplifying them and sponsoring far right parties. And it seems those days will come to an end or at least be correctly countered and not welcomed with open arms like in the last 20-30+ years.
So I’m quite optimistic for the long haul, we got some 5-10 turbulent years ahead but I’m confident we’ll survive mostly.
I see Russian hands everywhere too, not just politically but in cyber attacks and industrial sabotage. The problem is the USA who already light sabotaged us as allies are turning full blown hostile under trump. Economy is stable but industry and job market are declining fast and AI will break this even more (not only a European problem though.)
But nationalism rising is what makes me more afraid as I fear countries leaving Europe under false pretense due to corrupted politicians (or controlled/blackmailed by foreign powers). I fear what is happening in the USA becoming the norm.
Removed by mod
That was before the EU…