szmer
  • Communities
  • Create Post
  • Create Community
  • heart
    Support Lemmy
  • search
    Search
  • Login
  • Sign Up
anatole@mapstodon.space to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net · 1 year ago

Climatic analogs for some US urban areas in the late 21st century:

cdn.masto.host

message-square
16
fedilink
137

Climatic analogs for some US urban areas in the late 21st century:

cdn.masto.host

anatole@mapstodon.space to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net · 1 year ago
message-square
16
fedilink

Climatic analogs for some US urban areas in the late 21st century:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08540-3 @climate

#climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #analog #classification

alert-triangle
You must log in or # to comment.
  • incogtino@lemmy.zip
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    34
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Thanks, this is interesting

    For anyone who is not going to read the article, the map shows what locations have the climate today, that the major city will have in 2080, under a variety of climate change scenarios

    “Climates of most urban areas in the central and western U.S. will become most similar to contemporary climates found to the south or southeast (Fig. 2). Put another way, by the 2080s climate of cities in the northeast will tend to feel more like the humid subtropical climates typical of parts of the Midwest or southeastern U.S. today (warmer and wetter in all seasons, Supplementary Figure 2), whereas the climates of western cities are expected to become more like those of the desert Southwest or southern California (warmer in all seasons, with changes in the amount and seasonal distribution of precipitation, Supplementary Figure 3).”

  • greenhorn@lemm.ee
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    20
    ·
    1 year ago

    They also made a web app where you can input any city and it will show you its 2080 analog: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/

    • LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      Cool idea, but outdated and pretty inaccurate for a lot of areas unfortunately. I’ve seen a few better versions out there.

      • naeap@sopuli.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        1 year ago

        Do you have some links?
        Maybe also something that’s not just US only? :⁠-⁠\

        • LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          edit-2
          1 year ago

          I’ll see if I can find what I was looking at. I haven’t seen a really perfect one though. If you want to answer a specific question about your future climate, it’s often best to just look at local predictions.

          • naeap@sopuli.xyz
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            1 year ago

            Thanks for the effort already! :⁠-⁠)

            • LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              2
              ·
              1 year ago

              I think this was the best one I had found: https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-analogues-finding-tomorrows-climate-today

              Unfortunately it appears to be broken at the moment. Hopefully that is temporary.

    • HootinNHollerin@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      That’s pretty nifty and easy to interpret

      • onion@feddit.de
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        1 year ago

        And they use OpenStreetMap, pretty cool

    • anatole@mapstodon.spaceOP
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      Climate analogues project strong regional differences in the future water and electricity demand across US cities (2023): https://www.cell.com/one-earth/fulltext/S2590-3322(23)00454-2 @climate

      #analogs #analogues #climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #maps #classification #USA #DC #LA #SF #SFBA #Chicago #Portland #Seattle #Dallas

      • anatole@mapstodon.spaceOP
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        An interactive map to show climate analogs in Northern America: https://fitzlab.shinyapps.io/cityapp/ @climate ht @greenhorn

        #analogs #analogues #climateChange #climate #projections #dataViz #map #maps #classification #USA #DC #LA #SF #SFBA #Chicago #Portland #Seattle #Dallas #Denver #Toronto

  • hope@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    14
    ·
    1 year ago

    Many people might not realize it, but the area of northern California they’re saying Portland will become like is insanely hot in the summers. My first summer there I swear the high was in the 100s F from May 1st til Halloween.

    • hglman@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      1 year ago

      I didn’t believe you but yeah, it’s very hot especially july and august.

      https://weatherspark.com/y/145218/Average-Weather-at-Redding-Municipal-Airport-California-United-States-Year-Round

    • LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      I wouldn’t put too much stock in this model. It’s not very accurate.

  • Bill, organizer of stuff@vis.social
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    1 year ago

    @anatole
    What I find really interesting here is what happens when you trace the future climate of areas that currently produce most of the food for the US. Where they end up, climate-wise, the climate seems best suited for growing chickens and cattle (neither of which can be sustained without the grain from the breadbasket), sweet potatoes, peanuts, cotton, and, well, kudzu.
    @climate

  • Bill, organizer of stuff@vis.social
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    1 year ago

    @anatole
    Wow - every visual in this is excellent… And the narrative formed for the reader is specific and compelling.
    @climate

Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net

climate@slrpnk.net

Subscribe from Remote Instance

Create a post
You are not logged in. However you can subscribe from another Fediverse account, for example Lemmy or Mastodon. To do this, paste the following into the search field of your instance: !climate@slrpnk.net

Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.

Visibility: Public
globe

This community can be federated to other instances and be posted/commented in by their users.

  • 595 users / day
  • 1.9K users / week
  • 3.47K users / month
  • 9.47K users / 6 months
  • 11 local subscribers
  • 6.55K subscribers
  • 8.5K Posts
  • 36.7K Comments
  • Modlog
  • mods:
  • silence7@slrpnk.net
  • BE: 0.19.6
  • Modlog
  • Legal
  • Instances
  • Docs
  • Code
  • join-lemmy.org