Model Evaluation and Threat Research is an AI research charity that looks into the threat of AI agents! That sounds a bit AI doomsday cult, and they take funding from the AI doomsday cult organisat…
as one of the people representing the “hero group” (for lack of a better term) your comment references: eh. I didn’t start out with all this knowledge and experience. it built up over time.
it’s more about the mode of thinking and how to engage with a problem, than it is about specific “highly skilled” stuff. the skill and experience help/contribute, they refine, they assist in filtering
the reason I make this comment is because I think it’s valuable that anyone who can do the job well gets to do the thing, and that it’s never good to gatekeep people out. let’s not unnecessarily contribute to imposter syndrome
This is a very “nine women can make a baby in one month”.
The idea that there can even be two half as good developers is a misunderstanding of how anything works. If it worked like that, the study would be a dud because people could just run two AIs for 160% productivity.
Yeah, the glorious future where every half-as-good-as-expert developer is now only 25% as good as an expert (a level of performance also known as being “completely shit at it”), but he’s writing 10x the amount of unusable shitcode.
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Are these entry-level developers that are merely half as good as expert human unassisted developers in the room with us right now?
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as one of the people representing the “hero group” (for lack of a better term) your comment references: eh. I didn’t start out with all this knowledge and experience. it built up over time.
it’s more about the mode of thinking and how to engage with a problem, than it is about specific “highly skilled” stuff. the skill and experience help/contribute, they refine, they assist in filtering
the reason I make this comment is because I think it’s valuable that anyone who can do the job well gets to do the thing, and that it’s never good to gatekeep people out. let’s not unnecessarily contribute to imposter syndrome
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the astute reader may note a certain part of my comment addressed a particular aspect of this
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You’re the one bringing up popularity in response to a substantial argument. I hope you’re okay…
and upon hearing the lesson, the journeyman went to the pub
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This is a very “nine women can make a baby in one month”.
The idea that there can even be two half as good developers is a misunderstanding of how anything works. If it worked like that, the study would be a dud because people could just run two AIs for 160% productivity.
Entry-level devs ain’t replacing anyone. One senior dev is going to be doing the work of a whole team
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Same as how an entry level architect can build a building 60% as tall, and that’ll last 60% as long, right?
Edit: And an entry level aerospace engineer with AI assistance will build a plane that’s 60% as good at not crashing.
I’m not looking forward to the world I believe is coming…
Get 2 and the plane will be 120% as good!
In fact if children with AI are a mere 1% as good, a school with 150 children can build 150% as good!
I am sure this is how project management works, and if it is not maybe Elon can get Grok to claim that it is. (When not busy praising Hitler.)
this brooks no argument and it’s clear we should immediately throw all available resources at ai so as to get infinite improvement!!~
(I even heard some UN policy wonk spout the AGI line recently 🙄)
is there like a character sheet somewhere so i can know where i fall on this developer spectrum
It’s going to be your INT bonus modifier, but you can get a feat that also adds the WIS modifier
For prolonged coding sessions you do need CON saving throws, but you can get advantage from drinking coffee (once per short rest)
I must have picked up a feat somewhere because I hit that shit way more than once per short rest
Yeah, the glorious future where every half-as-good-as-expert developer is now only 25% as good as an expert (a level of performance also known as being “completely shit at it”), but he’s writing 10x the amount of unusable shitcode.
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Okay but that is different from the argument that entry developers only need to be half as good to deliver a working product